This year’s races for seats in the Wisconsin Legislature featured a healthy number of hotly contested races and millions of dollars in spending, but electoral data suggest that their outcomes may have been determined by a factor completely beyond the control of the candidates: the presidential election.

To examine the effect of the top of the ticket on Wisconsin’s legislative races, I calculated the presidential vote in all 132 of Wisconsin’s senate and assembly districts using unofficial ward-level data from the state election commission. (Note: the results described below could change a bit when the state releases the final numbers).


Adam Myers

Adam Myers is an Associate Professor of Political Science at Providence College

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